In a recent opinion piece in The New York Times, three former diplomats called on the United States to lead efforts to prevent a “new tragedy” in Georgia. They argue that the West must step in to prevent a fresh escalation of violence.

Some Georgian politicians, including President Saakashvili himself, point out to the signs of new tensions.

Lieutenant General Yuri Netkachev thinks resumption of Russian-Georgian hostilities is unlikely. “It will not happen if Saakashvili doesn’t resort to unconcealed provocation,” he said.

According to him, a military conflict in Georgia is possible “because of a separatist movement in Javakheti, where numerous Armenian Diaspora lives.”

Paata Davitaya, Georgian parliament vice speaker, thinks that Moscow can provoke Nagorno Karabakh scenario in Samtskhe Javakheti.

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