We shouldn’t know for a week or so — at least according to the ousted Honduran president’s estimation — since that country’s congress hasn’t even scheduled a vote on the deal brokered by the U.S. yet. Basically, Manuel Zelaya could emerge from his hiding place at the Brazilian embassy in Tegucigulpa and resume his role in a power-sharing deal until elections on Nov. 29, when Zelaya will be ineligible to run anyway because of term limits. The deal, however, will come under a non-binding review by Honduras’ Supreme Court and is subject to approval by Congress.

Working against Zelaya is the fact that it’s the Congress and Supreme Court that voted to toss him out on his ear in the first place. Working for Zelaya is fatigue among many Honduran lawmakers of the world community ganging up on the interim government, as well as optimism that the rest of the world would accept the elections as legitimate if Zelaya was allowed a chance back in. The constitutional referendum over which Zelaya got ousted, though — working toward an extension of term limits — is dead in the water.

(Photo by Alex Wong/Getty Images)